Lowell Mather IS the only mechanic I think of
Whenever I watch the Sky King video and listen to the transmissions I
envision lowell at the stick pulling off that amazing barrel roll

On Tue, Sep 23, 2025 at 11:25 AM Ken Hohhof <[email protected]> wrote:

> I have a customer whose son is a first officer for a regional airline.  He
> has been doing it long enough he gets first choice of schedules, etc.  He
> could advance to captain but doesn’t want to because then he would be at
> the bottom of the seniority list again.
>
>
>
> Isn’t military pilot a path to commercial pilot also?  Do commercial
> pilots typically graduate from an aviation program at a college?  I know
> someone whose son went to Embry-Riddle but I think he intended to be
> something other than a pilot.
>
>
>
> Remember the TV show “Wings”?  That’s what I think of when you mention a
> smaller airline.  Probably half the people here weren’t born when Wings was
> on TV.
>
>
>
> *From:* AF <[email protected]> *On Behalf Of *Robert
> *Sent:* Tuesday, September 23, 2025 11:00 AM
> *To:* [email protected]
> *Subject:* Re: [AFMUG] OT Some more stats
>
>
>
> Liars, damn liars and statisticians..   I am willing to bet that none of
> these are the true numbers.   & I'll also bet that the United number was a
> desired requirement, not a hard requirement, and they had 10 ways to hire
> around it going through a hoop or two.  Most of the major hiring is from
> the smaller airlines.   You don't get the big bucks until you survive on
> the small bucks.  I have two friends rising through the minor airlines
> right now and they are semi-prime candidates but still going through all
> the hoops.  There is also a lot of washout on the minor airlines from
> pilots that end up finding more money flying other paths when they need to
> support their families.   Air cargo and such.
>
> On 9/23/25 9:46 AM, [email protected] wrote:
>
> Seems airlines hire 5000 new pilots each year.  (from one unknown source)
>
> There are 10,000 new ATP certificates granted each year but half of them
> wash out or pause flying prior to earning the coveted 5000 hours that you
> need to become a first officer.
>
>
>
> So, seems supply exactly equals demand (roughly).  Other sources are
> saying there is a shortage.
>
>
>
> Now, add an artifical restriction, of that 5000 fully qualified ATPs, your
> HR department says half have to be black/women.
>
>
>
> Only 5% of that pool are women.  So, there are 250 available.
>
> Only 4% of pool are black.  So that will get you 200.
>
> 450 total per year but your HR department mandated 10X that amount.
>
>
>
> How will you fill that requirement?  Only one way, reduce the number of
> hours required.  But even if you took it all the way down to the 1500 hours
> it takes to the the ATP you will still only have 900 available to fill 5X
> the requirement.  And you will have 450 underqualified people sitting in
> the right seat in front.
>
>
>
> I doubt the figure I found for needing 5000 new pilots industry wide.  I
> think it is low.   I found another number saying that United Airlines (the
> one that had that DEI policy for a while) uses about 2000 new ones each
> year.
>
> Seems that United uses 40% of the pilots each year?  In any event, that
> would make the numbers still work out in a similar fashion.  Mandate 1000
> where there are only 450 available assuming your company gets all 450.
>
>
>
> It’s math bitch, not racism.
>
>
>
>
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