https://agupubs.onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/full/10.1029/2025AV001939

*Authors: *Sarah J. Doherty, Michael S. Diamond, Robert Wood, Haruki
Hirasawa

First published: *11 March 2026*

https://doi.org/10.1029/2025AV001939

*Abstract*
Solar radiation modification (SRM) is being discussed as a potential option
for addressing climate risks while atmospheric greenhouse gas
concentrations are reduced to lower levels. However, understanding of the
potential efficacy, impacts, benefits and harms of different SRM approaches
remains limited. Current knowledge almost exclusively stems from
observation of natural analogs and from model simulations, with the former
of limited direct applicability to SRM and the accuracy of the latter
difficult to assess without testing against real-world observations.
Well-designed field studies with controlled aerosol emissions would provide
more robust assessment of SRM approaches. Herein we propose a framework for
defining SRM field experiments aimed at improving the ability to understand
and predict the efficacy impacts of SRM approaches, specifically applying
it to marine cloud brightening (MCB). Within this framework an experiment's
scale is based on its spatial extent and duration and the atmospheric
energy perturbation produced. Integral to the framework is a set of
stage-gates, whereby physical and social metrics inform decisions around
progressing to larger scales of studies. Critical to informed
decision-making is that each study be mapped to scientific goals, metrics
for determining scientific success, quantification of the detectability of
different parameters of interest, and metrics for determining study
impacts. While we focus primarily on this framing within the context of the
physical sciences we point out how essential the above information is in
the context of the governance of both scientific studies and decisions
around the eventual use of SRM.

*Plain Language Summary*
Solar radiation modification (SRM) describes a group of potential
approaches for cooling the climate by adding airborne particles (aerosols)
to the atmosphere to increase sunlight reflection. Most of what we
understand about SRM's potential benefits and harms has come from computer
modeling studies with both known and potentially unknown sources of error.
Multiple reports have noted that well-designed field studies involving the
emission of relatively small quantities of aerosols would provide
substantially more robust assessment of these approaches. Here, we describe
a framework for defining different scales of field studies based on their
spatial extent and duration, and the atmospheric energy perturbation they
produce. We apply this framework to the SRM approach of marine cloud
brightening (MCB). We describe six scales of study to achieve specific
scientific goals, and how they compare in scale to natural analogs, like
the effects on clouds of international shipping and volcanoes, as well as
to the implementation of MCB to cool climate. Emphasized is the importance
of determining what impacts will be detectable at different scales of
studies, and the utility of the framework for governance of MCB

*Source: AGU*

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