There was a ridicule about Indian money and the dead economy etc But fact
appeared to be different?     KR IRS 1925

India’s economy has delivered a strong performance in the first quarter of
the fiscal year 2025-26, with *real GDP growth accelerating to 7.8%* in the
April–June period. The data, released by the National Statistical Office
(NSO) on *29th August 2025*, has surprised many who had projected growth in
the range of *6.5%–6.8%*. The figure also marks a five-quarter high,
underlining India’s position as the fastest-growing major economy despite
global uncertainties, including rising U.S. tariffs, volatile commodity
prices, and geopolitical tensions.

*GDP Data at a Glance*

According to the NSO release, *real GDP at constant prices* stood at ₹47.89
lakh crore in Q1 FY26, compared to ₹44.42 lakh crore in the same period
last year, representing a *7.8% year-on-year expansion*. In nominal terms,
GDP rose to *₹86.05 lakh crore*, reflecting *8.8% growth*, aided by robust
government spending, strong domestic demand, and a strong services sector.

India’s GDP growth in Q1 FY25 was 6.5%. The latest numbers clearly indicate
that the economy has regained momentum after a period of moderated
expansion, and is well on track to maintain growth at a level that outpaces
other major economies.

*Sectoral Highlights*

*1. Agriculture and Allied Activities*

Agriculture registered a *3.7% growth* in gross value added (GVA), a sharp
improvement from 1.5% in the year-ago quarter. Favorable weather conditions
and better rabi output supported the sector. However, warn that any
irregularities in monsoon distribution during the kharif season could weigh
on subsequent quarters.

*2. Industry (Secondary Sector)*

The industrial sector delivered a mixed performance:

·        *Manufacturing* grew strongly by *7%*, reflecting recovery in
domestic demand and supply chain normalization.

·        *Construction* rose by *6%*, supported by higher infrastructure
spending and steady demand in the real estate sector.

·        *Mining and quarrying* contracted by *1%*, primarily due to weaker
exports and reduced global commodity demand.

·        *Electricity, gas, water supply, and utilities* showed muted
growth of *5%*, pointing towards temporary constraints in energy production.

*3. Services (Tertiary Sector)*

The standout performer was the *services sector*, which clocked an
impressive *9.3% growth*, up from 6.8% in Q1 FY25. Sub-segments such as
financial services, IT-enabled services, trade, transport, and hospitality
all recorded significant gains. The rapid expansion of digital platforms
and higher consumption of discretionary services boosted this segment,
making it the largest contributor to overall GDP growth.

*Expenditure Breakdown*

On the expenditure side, the composition of GDP reflects broad-based growth:

·        *Private Final Consumption Expenditure (PFCE)* grew by *0%* in
real terms. Although slightly lower than last year’s 8.3%, household
consumption remained resilient, driven by urban demand, recovery in rural
consumption, and festive season stocking.

·        *Government Final Consumption Expenditure (GFCE)* surged by *7%*,
compared to just 4.0% in Q1 FY25. Increased capital expenditure on
infrastructure and welfare schemes played a crucial role in propping up
demand.

·        *Gross Fixed Capital Formation (GFCF)*, a measure of investment,
rose by *8%*, up from 6.7% in the previous year. This indicates improved
investor confidence and continued momentum in both private and public
investment.

The share of exports in GDP, however, showed signs of weakness due to
rising U.S. tariffs and slowing global demand, while imports remained
higher. This is expected to put some pressure on India’s current account
balance in the coming quarters.

*Growth Outlook*

Despite near-term challenges, the outlook for FY26 remains broadly
positive. The government has projected GDP growth in the range of *6.3% to
6.8%* for the full year, supported by robust domestic demand,
infrastructure spending, and continued expansion in services.

*Summary Table of Key Indicators*

*Indicator*

*Q1 FY26*

*Q1 FY25*

*Trend*

*Real GDP Growth*

7.8%

6.5%

Accelerating

*Nominal GDP Growth*

8.8%

6.2%

Rising

*Agriculture GVA*

3.7%

1.5%

Improved

*Manufacturing*

7.7%

6.0%

Strong

*Construction*

7.6%

6.4%

Robust

*Mining & Utilities*

−3.1% / +0.5%

-0.8%

Weak

*Services Growth (Tertiary)*

9.3%

6.8%

Very Strong

*GFCE (Govt Consumption)*

+9.7%

+4.0%

Higher

*PFCE (Private Consumption)*

+7.0%

+8.3%

Slightly Lower

*GFCF (Investment)*

+7.8%

+6.7%

Higher

*Conclusion*

The release of Q1 FY26 GDP data underscores the resilience of the Indian
economy in the face of global turmoil. With growth accelerating to *7.8%*,
India has once again established itself as the standout performer among
major economies. Strong performances in manufacturing, construction, and
services have offset weaknesses in mining and exports, while government
spending has played a crucial counter-cyclical role.

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