jpountz commented on PR #14080:
URL: https://github.com/apache/lucene/pull/14080#issuecomment-2551649936

   I made the heuristic more conservative, results now look like this on my M3 
after a few iterations:
   
   ```
                               TaskQPS baseline      StdDevQPS 
my_modified_version      StdDev                Pct diff p-value
                           Wildcard      190.37      (4.6%)      184.79      
(5.9%)   -2.9% ( -12% -    7%) 0.432
                 FilteredOrHighHigh       95.26      (5.4%)       92.73      
(3.5%)   -2.7% ( -10% -    6%) 0.407
                           PKLookup      392.08      (4.1%)      382.21      
(5.5%)   -2.5% ( -11% -    7%) 0.460
                            Prefix3      344.05      (1.5%)      335.95      
(3.4%)   -2.4% (  -7% -    2%) 0.206
                         TermDTSort      350.30      (4.9%)      344.70      
(5.6%)   -1.6% ( -11% -    9%) 0.668
                  FilteredOrHighMed      249.33      (4.9%)      245.53      
(3.3%)   -1.5% (  -9% -    7%) 0.607
                FilteredOrStopWords       68.15      (5.0%)       67.11      
(2.6%)   -1.5% (  -8% -    6%) 0.587
                  TermDayOfYearSort     2881.75      (3.9%)     2841.87      
(4.2%)   -1.4% (  -9% -    6%) 0.628
                            Respell      146.40      (1.5%)      144.40      
(2.8%)   -1.4% (  -5% -    3%) 0.393
                   FilteredOr3Terms      254.32      (4.3%)      251.02      
(3.7%)   -1.3% (  -8% -    6%) 0.646
                        TermGroup1M       35.51      (3.2%)       35.05      
(2.2%)   -1.3% (  -6% -    4%) 0.504
         FilteredOr2Terms2StopWords      250.63      (3.9%)      248.29      
(3.0%)   -0.9% (  -7% -    6%) 0.704
                     FilteredOrMany       19.83      (3.2%)       19.64      
(4.0%)   -0.9% (  -7% -    6%) 0.720
                  FilteredAnd3Terms      296.45      (4.1%)      293.86      
(6.0%)   -0.9% ( -10% -    9%) 0.810
        FilteredAnd2Terms2StopWords      276.61      (3.8%)      274.23      
(6.0%)   -0.9% ( -10% -    9%) 0.810
                             Fuzzy2      158.83      (1.8%)      157.60      
(2.3%)   -0.8% (  -4% -    3%) 0.601
                  CombinedOrHighMed      113.92      (2.0%)      113.15      
(2.0%)   -0.7% (  -4% -    3%) 0.636
                       TermBGroup1M       43.16      (4.1%)       42.87      
(3.2%)   -0.7% (  -7% -    6%) 0.796
                     TermBGroup1M1P       60.47      (2.0%)       60.06      
(2.8%)   -0.7% (  -5% -    4%) 0.701
               FilteredAndStopWords       52.74      (6.8%)       52.43      
(9.1%)   -0.6% ( -15% -   16%) 0.918
                             Fuzzy1      198.72      (2.4%)      197.56      
(2.9%)   -0.6% (  -5% -    4%) 0.754
                 FilteredAndHighMed      181.55      (3.8%)      180.71      
(5.1%)   -0.5% (  -8% -    8%) 0.884
                      TermTitleSort      154.88      (7.2%)      154.35      
(3.3%)   -0.3% ( -10% -   10%) 0.931
                          CountTerm    20770.14      (5.1%)    20709.54      
(3.6%)   -0.3% (  -8% -    8%) 0.925
                 CombinedOrHighHigh       27.80      (2.5%)       27.75      
(2.9%)   -0.2% (  -5% -    5%) 0.931
                And2Terms2StopWords      279.13      (4.4%)      278.82      
(1.5%)   -0.1% (  -5% -    6%) 0.961
                    AndHighOrMedMed       71.54      (3.3%)       71.69      
(3.7%)    0.2% (  -6% -    7%) 0.931
                     FilteredPhrase       48.21      (2.2%)       48.35      
(1.1%)    0.3% (  -2% -    3%) 0.815
                       TermGroup10K       35.71      (4.9%)       35.84      
(2.6%)    0.4% (  -6% -    8%) 0.896
                CountFilteredPhrase       47.87      (3.9%)       48.04      
(2.7%)    0.4% (  -5% -    7%) 0.876
                FilteredAndHighHigh       79.12      (5.3%)       79.46      
(7.8%)    0.4% ( -12% -   14%) 0.928
                    CountOrHighHigh      113.80      (1.3%)      114.40      
(1.4%)    0.5% (  -2% -    3%) 0.588
                     CountOrHighMed      213.82      (2.3%)      215.45      
(1.9%)    0.8% (  -3% -    5%) 0.609
                       TermGroup100       38.49      (6.1%)       38.79      
(4.3%)    0.8% (  -9% -   11%) 0.836
                             OrMany       27.84      (6.3%)       28.07      
(3.8%)    0.8% (  -8% -   11%) 0.826
                          And3Terms      252.72      (3.3%)      254.82      
(2.3%)    0.8% (  -4% -    6%) 0.674
                CombinedAndHighHigh       15.06      (2.8%)       15.21      
(4.8%)    1.0% (  -6% -    8%) 0.721
                       CombinedTerm       52.24      (1.0%)       52.88      
(3.1%)    1.2% (  -2% -    5%) 0.445
                       AndStopWords       39.29      (4.0%)       39.81      
(3.2%)    1.3% (  -5% -    8%) 0.613
                        OrStopWords       49.24      (4.5%)       49.94      
(2.2%)    1.4% (  -5% -    8%) 0.572
                         AndHighMed      194.03      (3.9%)      197.15      
(1.1%)    1.6% (  -3% -    6%) 0.430
                        CountPhrase        7.17      (4.1%)        7.28      
(2.3%)    1.6% (  -4% -    8%) 0.484
                 CombinedAndHighMed       49.90      (3.9%)       50.76      
(4.6%)    1.7% (  -6% -   10%) 0.565
                   DismaxOrHighHigh      185.41      (3.4%)      188.65      
(2.6%)    1.7% (  -4% -    7%) 0.410
                        AndHighHigh       74.90      (4.1%)       76.32      
(1.7%)    1.9% (  -3% -    8%) 0.397
                         OrHighRare      538.41      (3.4%)      548.78      
(7.7%)    1.9% (  -8% -   13%) 0.649
                    DismaxOrHighMed      276.14      (3.7%)      281.50      
(1.8%)    1.9% (  -3% -    7%) 0.345
                           Or3Terms      243.51      (4.5%)      248.53      
(0.7%)    2.1% (  -3% -    7%) 0.368
                   AndMedOrHighHigh       79.94      (8.7%)       81.70      
(4.1%)    2.2% (  -9% -   16%) 0.647
                 Or2Terms2StopWords      268.15      (4.0%)      274.04      
(1.9%)    2.2% (  -3% -    8%) 0.325
                       FilteredTerm      255.82      (2.0%)      261.55      
(0.4%)    2.2% (   0% -    4%) 0.026
                         OrHighHigh       76.05      (4.7%)       77.89      
(1.7%)    2.4% (  -3% -    9%) 0.332
                          OrHighMed      307.88      (4.7%)      316.45      
(2.5%)    2.8% (  -4% -   10%) 0.299
                             IntNRQ      198.18      (3.2%)      203.97      
(5.7%)    2.9% (  -5% -   12%) 0.372
                             Phrase       22.91      (6.4%)       23.67      
(3.5%)    3.3% (  -6% -   14%) 0.367
                               Term      869.72      (4.6%)      898.83      
(1.5%)    3.3% (  -2% -    9%) 0.170
                      TermMonthSort      427.24      (6.1%)      449.10      
(4.1%)    5.1% (  -4% -   16%) 0.163
                         DismaxTerm      810.59     (10.7%)      873.11      
(4.1%)    7.7% (  -6% -   25%) 0.180
            CountFilteredOrHighHigh       82.81      (2.6%)       89.79      
(1.0%)    8.4% (   4% -   12%) 0.000
                    CountAndHighMed      207.79      (2.4%)      247.26      
(3.6%)   19.0% (  12% -   25%) 0.000
                CountFilteredOrMany        9.51      (2.7%)       11.32      
(1.1%)   19.0% (  14% -   23%) 0.000
             CountFilteredOrHighMed      100.08      (1.9%)      123.90      
(1.1%)   23.8% (  20% -   27%) 0.000
                   CountAndHighHigh       67.56      (1.9%)      120.00      
(2.1%)   77.6% (  72% -   83%) 0.000
   ```


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