While this doesn't definitively answer your question, it may provide some insight: We ran a survey of Chrome XP users (N=819) after Chrome's end of life message was shown in the product (English only). The results showed:
- About half the sample plan to continue using Chrome on XP without support/updates - Almost 40% say they will either update Windows, their computer, or switch operating system (OS) - About 14% overall open to switching browsers, more than half of those interested in Firefox Because this is self reported, it is hard to say how many users will actually follow through. I can say that even though 7% said they'd switch to Firefox, we saw zero evidence (in downloads or ADIs) that they actually did. The final data point I have is that NetMarketShare reports that Chrome's proportion of users on XP users hovered around 13% for almost a year. Come May, 2016 (month after Chrome XP EOL), they dropped to 11%. In the same period, Firefox stayed relatively even. We'll likely need to keep tracking the data to see where they go after a year, but I think it's safe to say that most users won't seek out an alternative and will continue using the product. Peter On Mon, Oct 24, 2016 at 1:44 PM, Eric Rescorla <e...@rtfm.com> wrote: > This seems to assume facts not in evidence, namely that people will stop > using those > machines rather than just living with whatever the last version we updated > them to. > > Do we have any data that shows that that's true? > > -Ekr > > > On Mon, Oct 24, 2016 at 1:12 AM, Gervase Markham <g...@mozilla.org> wrote: > > > On 22/10/16 10:16, keithgallis...@gmail.com wrote: > > > My concern is that by killing digital certificate updates and TLS > > > updates, still in use machines whose main purpose is Internet access > > > are essentially bricked. > > > > This is a feature, not a bug. If those machines shouldn't be on the > > Internet, and things happen which keep them off the Internet, then > hooray. > > > > Gerv > > _______________________________________________ > > dev-platform mailing list > > dev-platform@lists.mozilla.org > > https://lists.mozilla.org/listinfo/dev-platform > > > _______________________________________________ > dev-platform mailing list > dev-platform@lists.mozilla.org > https://lists.mozilla.org/listinfo/dev-platform > _______________________________________________ dev-platform mailing list dev-platform@lists.mozilla.org https://lists.mozilla.org/listinfo/dev-platform