On Thu, May 10, 2007 at 12:41:32AM +0900, Junichi Uekawa wrote: > Hi, > > I've tried to craft an hypothesis about number of Debian users, from > apt-listbugs logs. I've analysed merkel.debian.org access logs. Since > etch was released, 30000 unique IPs were used to access > merkel.debian.org using apt-listbugs. According to popcon, 3% of all > Debian users install apt-listbugs. Let me add three simplifications to > the equation. > > (A) popcon models Debian user installation behavior reasonably well. > > (B) A unique IP represents a single system (Even though DHCP may > change IP address over a month's period, NAT may share IP addresses). > > (C) All users are using Debian etch, lenny, or sid. > > I can assume there are 1,000,000 Debian users worldwide. Does this > number sound big or small to you? >
As you know, the Imperium has never been able to take a census ... ;-) very interested to see what numbers come up :-) as a broad suggestion, if you can put rough numbers on the number of computers, and the number of users in the world, then that would help to establish a ball-park. netcraft counted debian as 25% of linux servers in 2005, and were counting somewhere around 450,000 of them in 2004. numbers in the 5-10% ballpark are often wheeled out for linux market share. somewhere between 100 million and 10 billion people on the internet ... 1 million doesn't seem like an implausible number. of those, there are 247 people on #debian right now :-) as well as numbers for things like mailing list subs. Regards, Paddy -- To UNSUBSCRIBE, email to [EMAIL PROTECTED] with a subject of "unsubscribe". Trouble? Contact [EMAIL PROTECTED]
