John,

Since you work in F1...

The guys from Intelligent Light (http://www.ilight.com/) gave a presentation at SC13 on how they helped both Red Bull F1 and Zipp wheels (http://www.zipp.com) with HPC. I think both of these examples show how easily quantifiable ROI can be in certain scenarios. It also shows how you can use different methods to calculate ROI.

In the Red Bull F1 case, they made it easier and quicker for Red Bull to analyze the results of their CFD simulations. Obviously, if you can calculate the # of aerodynamics simulations they were able to analyze per week before and after, you can figure out the value based on the cost of labor for the aerodynamics experts, and then calculate the value of this increase in productivity. The ultimate measure, though, would be to measure the increase in co-sponsor dollars/prize-winnings after using this new workflow.

For Zipp, they used HPC for the first time to design an aerodynamic wheel, instead of just wind-tunnel testing. I have no doubt that computer modeling is much cheaper and quicker than wind-tunnel testing. From what I remember, Zipp used a very small cluster, or the cloud, to do their simulations, so the investment was very small. One ROI calculation could be based on the saving of computer simulations vs. wind-tunnel testing. I think a better ROI calculation, though, would be based on how much these new computer-designed wheels are adding to their profits.

I think which ROI calculation you use in the above scenarios depends on who you are trying to convince - your dept head, or your CEO (and shareholders), but there's no doubt all the calculations are valid, and the numbers would be relatively easy to obtain.

On 11/26/2013 12:57 PM, John Hearns wrote:
Regarding ROI in industry, I think that's a good topic for discussion.
Like any area HPC is applied to, I would guess that the first thing you have to look at is the capability the equipment gives you. Either in terms of 'we could not run this simulation, or a simulation as detailed as we need' without it, or 'we get the results back in time to influence our decisions', ie. scale and time to solution. Then you have to say what effect that will have on your business goals - either by saying that if we do not have that HPC capacity we will have to do the modelling on other, perhaps more expensive, ways such as crash testing real cars or aircraft engines. Or by saying that if we have the capability we can increase the performance of our product, and thereby gain competitiveness. I think the time to solution argument is an important one - certainly is where I work! And think of obvious examples such as weather forecasting where you need that forecast to be produced before a certain time. Again time to solution can be quantified int he medical diagnostic arena - you are probably able to say that if you run (say) a radiation dose plan within the time of a clinic it means the patient does not have to come back for a second visit, thereby saving soem amount of money.
Apologies if i am stating the blindingly obvious.


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