Public bug reported:

do-release-upgrade cannot calculate the upgrade, offers no useful
insight as to why, and provides no way to see the actual underlying
error.

====

Reading cache

Checking package manager
Reading package lists... Done
Building dependency tree
Reading state information... Done
Hit http://us.archive.ubuntu.com/ubuntu bionic InRelease
Hit http://us.archive.ubuntu.com/ubuntu bionic-updates InRelease
Hit http://us.archive.ubuntu.com/ubuntu bionic-backports InRelease
Hit http://security.ubuntu.com/ubuntu bionic-security InRelease
Fetched 0 B in 0s (0 B/s)
Reading package lists... Done    
Building dependency tree          
Reading state information... Done

Updating repository information
Hit http://security.ubuntu.com/ubuntu cosmic-security InRelease                 
                         
Hit http://us.archive.ubuntu.com/ubuntu cosmic InRelease                        
                         
Hit http://us.archive.ubuntu.com/ubuntu cosmic-updates InRelease                
                         
Hit http://us.archive.ubuntu.com/ubuntu cosmic-backports InRelease              
                         
Fetched 0 B in 0s (0 B/s)                                                       
                         

Checking package manager
Reading package lists... Done    
Building dependency tree          
Reading state information... Done

Calculating the changes

Calculating the changes

Could not calculate the upgrade

An unresolvable problem occurred while calculating the upgrade.

This can be caused by: 
* Upgrading to a pre-release version of Ubuntu 
* Running the current pre-release version of Ubuntu 
* Unofficial software packages not provided by Ubuntu 

If none of this applies, then please report this bug using the 
command 'ubuntu-bug ubuntu-release-upgrader-core' in a terminal. 


Restoring original system state

Aborting
Reading package lists... Done    
Building dependency tree          
Reading state information... Done
=== Command terminated with exit status 1 (Thu Oct 18 21:53:52 2018) ===

ProblemType: Bug
DistroRelease: Ubuntu 18.04
Package: ubuntu-release-upgrader-core 1:18.04.27
ProcVersionSignature: Ubuntu 4.15.0-36.39-generic 4.15.18
Uname: Linux 4.15.0-36-generic x86_64
ApportVersion: 2.20.9-0ubuntu7.4
Architecture: amd64
CrashDB: ubuntu
CurrentDesktop: GNOME
Date: Thu Oct 18 21:49:00 2018
InstallationDate: Installed on 2015-12-17 (1036 days ago)
InstallationMedia: Ubuntu 15.10 "Wily Werewolf" - Release amd64 (20151021)
PackageArchitecture: all
SourcePackage: ubuntu-release-upgrader
UpgradeStatus: Upgraded to bionic on 2018-10-19 (0 days ago)
mtime.conffile..etc.update-manager.release-upgrades: 2018-10-18T21:43:55.313922

** Affects: ubuntu-release-upgrader (Ubuntu)
     Importance: Undecided
         Status: New


** Tags: amd64 apport-bug bionic dist-upgrade wayland-session

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https://bugs.launchpad.net/bugs/1798729

Title:
  release upgrade from 18.04 to 18.10 cannot calculate upgrade, no
  reason given

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