Well, it looks like I am partly answering my own question. gnls is
clearly not going to be the right method to use to try out a
non-Gaussian error structure. The "ls"=Least Squares in "gnls" means
minimising the sum of the square of the residuals ... which is
equivalent to assuming a Gaussian error
I have been using the nls function to fit some simple non-linear
regression models for properties of graphite bricks to historical
datasets. I have then been using these fits to obtain mean predictions
for the properties of the bricks a short time into the future. I have
also been calculating appro
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