On 19/08/2008, at 12:55 PM, ascentnet wrote:


I have a simple X, Y data frame that I am trying to run regression analysis on. The linear regression looks great, but when I use lm(formula = y ~ poly(x, degree = 5)) I get the same coeffecients. So for example if I use degree =3 my formula would look like y = 4.2 x^3 + 3.2x^2 + 2.1x + 1.0 and my degree 5 would look like y = 6.5x^5+ 5.4x^4 + 4.2 x^3 + 3.2x^2 + 2.1x +
1.0, which doesn't make sense to me.

I was wondering if someone knew what I was doing wrong or if this is
correct?

This is correct. By default the syntax you use gives *orthogonal* polynomial regression. You are misinterpreting the coefficients of the fit. You actually
have, in the first instance

        ``y = 4.2 p_3 + 3.2 p_2 + 2.1 p1 + 1.0''

where p_1, p_2, p_3 are orthogonal polynomials of degree 1, 2, and 3 respectively.
They are *NOT* equal to x, x^2, and x^3.

Try:

        > m <- cbind(1,poly(1:10,3))
        > round(t(m)%*%m,digits=8)

If you don't want orthogonal polynomials, use e.g. poly (x,degree=3,raw=TRUE).

        cheers,

                Rolf Turner

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