Dear Josephine
I think you may easily build such a model with the mmage package available at http://livtools.cirad.fr/mmage
Best Regards
Matthieu

On 29/08/2016 16:06, Msindai, Nadejda wrote:
Dear David


I think you misunderstood me, I need to find the name for an r package that 
models the population size from time 0 for a group of animals.


I provided details to make it clearer the type of model I want to run.


The only population model I have come across thus far is Popbio, which appears 
to be for plants? Therefore, can you assist me by telling me the name for a 
package that is used to model exponential growth:


Exponential growth model is --

?The exponential growth model assumes that the population starts out at time t=0 
at some initial N(0), and growth at constant exponential rate r. If r>0 this 
results in theoretically unlimited growth over time.  The fundamental equation of 
growth is

?

?N(t+1)= N(t) exp(r)


I do not have a known growth rate figure for my species, therefore, I plan to 
use life history data obtained from wild populations (of one particular 
species) to model the current population size for a group of animals introduced 
onto an island.


Thank you for your help in this matter


Josephine

________________________________
From: David Winsemius <dwinsem...@comcast.net>
Sent: 27 August 2016 03:32:55
To: Msindai, Nadejda
Cc: r-help@r-project.org
Subject: Re: [R] Exponential population model


On Aug 26, 2016, at 5:49 AM, Msindai, Nadejda <n.msindai...@ucl.ac.uk> wrote:

Dear admin

I am writing to ask for help with writing an R script to model the current 
population size using life history data (I do not know the intrinsic rate of 
increase (r)).

My study population are a group of introduced chimpanzees, that were released 
by the Frankfurt Zoological Society in 1966-1969 onto an island in Lake 
Victoria.

Thus I want to run a density independent population model using life history 
data, with 0 net migration/immigration (so this is a closed system).


These are the individuals entering the system (in my case arriving on the 
island), after 1969 no new animals arrive.

Year    1966    1966    1966    1966    1966    1966    1966    1968    1969    
1966    1966    1966    1966    1968    1969
Animal ID       F1      F2      F3      F4      F5      F6      F7      F8      
F9      M1      M2      M3      M4      M5      M6
DOB     1955    1955    1956    1957    1958    1959    1955    1960    1960    
1958    1959    1959    1962    1960    1960

Notes:  Year is the year animal was released into the population
       F=female
       M=male
       DOB=date of birth


Using the following life history data I want to estimate the population size 
for the year 1979, 1989, 1999, and 2014, as well as future projection for 2019, 
2029 etc.

Age at first birth for females: 11 years
Birth interval: 55.2 months
Age at last birth: 50 years (in 40-50 years only 47% of females have offspring)
Survival to 8 years = 67.7%(Female) 51.4%(Male)
Survival to 15 years 41%(Female) 27%(Male)
Survival 15-40 years 18%(Female) 11%(Male)
Survival 40+ years 7%(M/F)



Birth ratio set as ___M = Male, F = Female (set as 50:50)


This looks like a homework question and Rhelp is specifically announced as not 
doing homework. See the Posting Guide.

--
David.



I hope you can be of help

Kind regards

Josephine




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David Winsemius
Alameda, CA, USA


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--
Matthieu Lesnoff
CIRAD
Campus de Baillarguet
TA C-112 / A (Bât. A)
34398 Montpellier Cedex 5
Off.: +33 4 67 59 38 66
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E-mail: matthieu.lesn...@cirad.fr

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