Hi all,

I just uploaded a new version of the bpcp package.  It calculates confidence 
intervals for a survival distribution for right-censored data using the newly 
developed beta product confidence procedure.  Previously developed methods can 
have substantial error rate inflation for the lower limit, especially at the 
right end of the curves when there are small numbers of events.  The bpcp 
method guarantees coverage when there is no censoring (when it reduces to the 
exact Clopper-Pearson intervals for binomial data at each time) or when there 
is progressive type II censoring.  Simulations show at least nominal  coverage 
for independent censoring.  Also, it is fast so it can be used routinely.

For a complete description of the new method see

Fay, Brittain, and Proschan (2013). Pointwise confidence intervals for a 
survival distribution with small samples or heavy censoring. Biostatistics 
doi:10.1093/biostatistics/kxt016 (available at 
http://www.niaid.nih.gov/about/organization/dcr/brb/staff/Pages/michael.aspx ).


Mike

******************************************************************
Michael P. Fay, PhD
Mathematical Statistician
National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases
Tel: 301-451-5124               Fax:301-480-0912
(U.S. postal mail address)
6700B Rockledge Drive MSC 7609
Bethesda, MD 20892-7609
(Overnight mail address)
6700-A Rockledge Drive, Room 5133
Bethesda, MD 20817
http://www3.niaid.nih.gov/about/organization/dcr/BRB/staff/michael.htm
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