On 07/01/2012 13:18, Antonio Tirri wrote:
Excuseme Prof Ripley, but on the help page of ts() there is written:
||

"deltat = the fraction of the sampling period between successive
observations; e.g., 1/12 for monthly data. Only one of frequency or
deltat should be provided."

I have a collection of bitrate values over a link and the distance in
time between two successive observations is 0.05 sec. How set correctly
deltat parmeter? I thought it was the number of observations in a year.

And what did your statistics advisor say? The problem is your understanding of the words 'sampling period'.

Thanks a lot.


On 7 January 2012 13:28, Prof Brian Ripley <rip...@stats.ox.ac.uk
<mailto:rip...@stats.ox.ac.uk>> wrote:

    Do check the help page for ts.  You are trying to fit a seasonal
    model with a period of about 600 million observations.  I don't know
    what seasonality you are actually trying to model, but it cannot be
    yearly for data of that frequency (and you would need several years
    of data).

    This is not an R issue, so please discuss with your statistics
    advisor what you are really trying to do.


    On 07/01/2012 10:47, Antonio Tirri wrote:

        Hi.
        I have to forecast a time series of a Internet network traffic
        bitrate.
        The data are in file
        http://www.forumaltavilla.it/__joomla/datitesi/dati.datand
        <http://www.forumaltavilla.it/joomla/datitesi/dati.datand> the
        sampling

        time is every 0.05 seconds.
        Now, i want to use HoltWinters forecasting. This is my script.

        dt=1.58443823e-9 #0.05 seconds in years
        dati.ts=ts(scan("dati.dat"),__start=0,deltat=dt)
        model=HoltWinters(dati.ts)
        dati.forecast=forecast(model,__h=100)
        plot(dati.forecast)

        When I type the command

        model=HoltWinters(dati.ts)

        R gives me the error
        "Error in NextMethod("[") : cannot allocate vector of length
        1262277040"

        even if I take a shorter dati.dat (50 samples) i get the same error.

        If i set deltat=1, the error after HoltWinters command is:
        "Error in decompose(ts(x[1L:wind], start = start(x), frequency = f),
        seasonal) :
           time series has no or less than 2 periods"

        How can I solve my problem?
        Thanks

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    --
    Brian D. Ripley, rip...@stats.ox.ac.uk <mailto:rip...@stats.ox.ac.uk>
    Professor of Applied Statistics,
    http://www.stats.ox.ac.uk/~__ripley/
    <http://www.stats.ox.ac.uk/%7Eripley/>
    University of Oxford,             Tel: +44 1865 272861
    <tel:%2B44%201865%20272861> (self)
    1 South Parks Road, +44 1865 272866 <tel:%2B44%201865%20272866> (PA)
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    <tel:%2B44%201865%20272595>




--
Brian D. Ripley,                  rip...@stats.ox.ac.uk
Professor of Applied Statistics,  http://www.stats.ox.ac.uk/~ripley/
University of Oxford,             Tel:  +44 1865 272861 (self)
1 South Parks Road,                     +44 1865 272866 (PA)
Oxford OX1 3TG, UK                Fax:  +44 1865 272595

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