Hi Spencer and Mike, Thank you very much! I never expect to get 3 replies in one day. You all are really helpful. While I am struggling reading all the documents suggested, here is the data. Maybe this will help to clear up what I am intending to do.
Thank in advance guys. Eddie On Tue, May 31, 2011 at 10:39 PM, Mike Marchywka <marchy...@hotmail.com>wrote: > > ( hotmail won't mark text so I'm top posting... ) > > Can you post the data? Personally I'd just plot abs(fft(x)) > and see what you see, as well as looking at Im(fft(x))/Re(fft(x)) > or phase spectrum. Now, presumably you are nominally looking > for something with a period of 1 year, that part could > be expressed in harmonic specrum as suggested below, but you'd > also be looking for trends and noises of various types- additive > gausssian, amplitude modulation, maybe even frequncy modulation, etc. > I guess you could remove a few power terms ( average, linear, etc) > just to simplify ( often you get this spectrum with huge uniformative > DC or zero frequency component just gets in the way). You can probably > find book online dealing with signal processing and RF ( this is where > I'm used to seeing this things). It would of course be helpful to > then examine known simple cases and see if you can tell them apart. > Create fft( sin(t)*(1+a*sin(epsilon*t)+b*t ) for example. > > > I guess if you want to look at writing a model, you could look at > phase portrait ( plot derviative versus value ) to again get some idea what > you may have that makes sense as model to fit. > > > > ---------------------------------------- > Date: Tue, 31 May 2011 10:35:16 -0700 > From: spencer.gra...@structuremonitoring.com > To: eddie...@gmail.com > CC: r-help@r-project.org > Subject: Re: [R] newbie: fourier series for time series data > > > On 5/31/2011 5:12 AM, eddie smith wrote: > > Hi Guys, > > > > I had a monthly time series's data of land temperature from 1980 to 2008. > > After plotting a scatter diagram, it seems that annually, there is a semi > > sinusoidal cycle. How do I run Fourier's series to the data so that I can > > fit model on it? > > There are several methods. > > > 1. The simplest would be to select the number of terms you > want, put the data into a data.frame, and use lm(y ~ sin(t/period) + > cos(t/period) + sin(2*t/period) + cos(2*t/period) + ..., data), > including as many terms as you want in the series. This is not > recommended, because it ignores the time series effects and does not > apply a smoothness penalty to the Fourier approximation. > > > 2. A second is to use the 'fda' package. Examples are > provided (even indexed) in Ramsay, Hooker and Graves (2009) Functional > Data Analysis with R and Matlab (Springer). This is probably what > Ramsay and Hooker would do, but I wouldn't, because it doesn't treat the > time series as a time series. It also requires more work on your part. > > > 3. A third general class of approaches uses Kalman > filtering, also called dynamic linear models or state space models. > This would allow you to estimate a differential equation model, whose > solution could be a damped sinusoid. It would also allow you to > estimate regression coefficients of a finite Fourier series but without > the smoothness penalty you would get with 'fda'. For this, I recommend > the 'dlm' package with its vignette and companion book, Petris, Petrone > and Campagnoli (2009) Dynamic Linear Models with R (Springer). > > > If you want something quick and dirty, you might want option 1. > For that, I might use option 2, because I know and understand it > moderately well (being third author on the book). However, if you > really want to understand time series, I recommend option 3. That has > the additional advantage that I think it would have the greatest chances > of acceptance in a refereed academic journal of the three approaches. > > > > I am really sorry for my question sound stupid, but I just don't know > where > > to start. > > There also are specialized email lists that you might consider > for a future post. Go to www.r-project.org > -> "Mailing Lists". In particular, you might be most interested in > R-sig-ecology. > > > Hope this helps. > Spencer Graves > > > I am desperately looking for help from you guys. > > > > Thanks in advance. > > > > Eddie > > > > [[alternative HTML version deleted]] > > > > ______________________________________________ > > R-help@r-project.org mailing list > > https://stat.ethz.ch/mailman/listinfo/r-help > > PLEASE do read the posting guidehttp:// > www.R-project.org/posting-guide.html > > and provide commented, minimal, self-contained, reproducible code. > > > -- > Spencer Graves, PE, PhD > President and Chief Operating Officer > Structure Inspection and Monitoring, Inc. > 751 Emerson Ct. > San José, CA 95126 > ph: 408-655-4567 > > > [[alternative HTML version deleted]] > > > ______________________________________________ > R-help@r-project.org mailing list > https://stat.ethz.ch/mailman/listinfo/r-help > PLEASE do read the posting guide > http://www.R-project.org/posting-guide.html > and provide commented, minimal, self-contained, reproducible code. > >
Land Temperature (1982 to 2008) Year Jan Feb Mac Apr Mei Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dis 1982 27.73 27.51 27.80 28.08 28.51 28.45 28.06 27.89 27.94 28.15 28.20 28.17 1983 27.79 27.56 27.77 28.32 28.40 28.62 28.32 28.16 28.54 28.74 28.65 28.05 1984 27.76 27.54 27.79 28.28 28.67 28.50 28.34 28.18 28.54 28.52 28.42 28.01 1985 27.54 27.65 27.83 28.31 28.53 28.54 28.28 28.12 28.28 28.43 28.59 28.21 1986 27.71 27.44 27.65 28.22 28.63 28.64 28.49 28.19 28.12 28.38 28.37 28.00 1987 27.67 27.24 27.74 28.29 28.77 28.67 28.35 28.29 28.32 28.59 28.72 28.25 1988 28.08 28.01 28.31 28.60 28.95 28.91 28.74 28.67 28.79 28.89 28.66 28.11 1989 27.94 27.65 27.83 28.39 28.65 28.73 28.71 28.45 28.59 28.69 28.58 28.04 1990 27.68 27.69 27.84 28.30 28.70 28.63 28.56 28.42 28.21 28.51 28.45 27.97 1991 27.61 27.40 27.63 28.23 28.53 28.65 28.53 28.33 28.20 28.21 28.13 27.85 1992 27.49 27.51 27.71 28.26 28.58 28.68 28.32 28.28 28.34 28.33 28.03 27.78 1993 27.36 26.99 27.44 27.91 28.32 28.56 28.34 28.08 28.17 28.15 28.42 28.06 1994 27.66 27.71 27.80 28.29 28.58 28.63 28.31 28.01 28.03 28.18 28.28 28.07 1995 27.74 27.51 27.67 28.28 28.67 28.81 28.71 28.69 28.69 28.80 28.83 28.32 1996 27.84 27.63 27.88 28.41 28.68 28.94 28.90 28.69 28.79 28.99 28.80 28.35 1997 27.72 27.63 27.71 28.31 28.63 28.69 28.37 28.01 28.11 28.43 28.38 28.40 1998 27.89 27.96 28.18 28.70 29.08 29.17 29.18 29.13 29.21 29.30 29.23 28.74 1999 28.38 28.12 28.41 28.76 28.89 28.85 28.62 28.38 28.63 28.91 28.82 28.44 2000 28.12 27.86 28.02 28.64 28.81 28.78 28.47 28.53 28.65 28.93 29.02 28.54 2001 28.26 28.02 28.28 28.76 29.09 29.24 28.83 28.62 28.77 28.98 28.85 28.36 2002 27.91 27.73 28.12 28.74 29.09 29.09 28.66 28.41 28.46 28.68 28.83 28.50 2003 28.02 27.83 28.03 28.63 28.92 28.78 28.76 28.59 28.66 28.94 28.78 28.33 2004 27.95 27.80 28.08 28.67 28.93 28.68 28.50 28.17 28.38 28.50 28.64 28.38 2005 27.93 27.85 28.05 28.43 28.87 28.87 28.80 28.54 28.62 28.91 28.87 28.49 2006 28.00 27.82 27.96 28.44 28.82 28.83 28.47 28.20 28.41 28.23 28.57 28.48 2007 28.03 27.83 27.97 28.37 28.82 29.09 28.78 28.51 28.59 28.76 28.65 28.48 2008 28.01 27.87 27.93 28.46 28.54 28.58 28.43 28.38 28.69 28.94 28.92 28.55
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