On Apr 28, 2011, at 10:28 PM, eric wrote:

equire(quantmod)
require(PerformanceAnalytics)
rm(list=ls())
getSymbols("^GSPC", src="yahoo", from="1990-01-01", to=Sys.Date())
GSPC <-na.omit(Ad(GSPC))
ind <- rollapply(GSPC, 200, mean)
signal <- ifelse(diff(ind, 5) > 0 , 1 , -1)
signal[is.na(signal)] <- 0

> table(coredata(diff(ind,5)) >0)

FALSE  TRUE
 1286  3886


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