On Jun 20, 2010, at 10:24 AM, Stefan Grosse wrote:

Am 20.06.2010 15:31, schrieb Muenchen, Robert A (Bob):

I've been fiddling around with various ways to estimate the popularity of R, SAS, SPSS, Stata, JMP, Minitab, Statistica, Systat, BMDP, S- PLUS,
R-PLUS and Revolution R. It's not an easy task. You can see what I've
come up with so far at http://r4stats.com/popularity . I'm sure people will have plenty of ideas on how to improve this, so please let me know
what you think.

Your analysis is quite web-based. But to define what popular means is -
I believe - hard. R is open source and very broad in its different
applications so of course it generates much more e-mail and web traffic
because there are many different uses and users.

SPSS and Stata for example are closed and very specialized.

I suspect proponents of their use would actively dispute the "very specialized" description.

You get
support also directly from the company and do not necessarily need a
mailing list. Does this mean that they are less popular? I'd say no.

I was under the impression that both SAS and Stata actively support their two mailing lists, but the SAS FAQ disputes this impression regarding SAS.


So the question I would raise here is whether it is a fair comparison?
I know that is a sufficient statistics-subset like panel econometrics
Stata is by far leading and for time series econometrics Eviews, Gauss
in research. I would say that in the industry that I know plus in
econometrics research those programs are much more widespread or
"popular". To measure their popularity I would say a
industry-and-education-wide-questionnaire should be used.

Plus it is not sufficient so I would also name Matlab, Gauss, Ox, Eviews from the areas of my "interest" (econometrics) as "popular" proprietary
software.

I do not deny that R is becoming more popular, but I doubt whether
mailing lists and search requests are enough to prove this hypothesis.

Certainly there are additional factors that might influence the absolute numbers of posting to a particular mailing list. The SAS mailing list/newsgroup, SAS-L/comp.soft-sys.sas, has a well- established Internet presence. Each one probably has a particular culture. (I was stunned to see the low number of daily posts to comp.soft-sys.sas when I just looked at the last week on GoogelGroups.) I didn't think either the SAS or the Stata lists had any sort of published or informal effort to steer users in the direction of R-ing the FM, searching-before-posting, or admonishments to RT-FAQ. However, now that I look, it does appear that the Statalist FAQ makes an effort similar to that of the r-help Posting Guide. There may be differences in the degree and clarity of the documentation as well. The Stata distribution includes a medium-sized library. All of that said, ..., the relative frequency of postings would seem to less subject to such influences.

The SAS curve with its peak in 2006-2008 and significantly lower numbers in more recent years contrasted with the steady increase in R and Stata would seem to reflect a material shift. Agreed, you cannot say that R passed SAS in number of active users, or that SAS has the same number of users as Stata. The flatness of SPSS also appears meaningful. And within the R/S world the differences in the activity on Snews and rhelp are likewise pretty dramatic.

--

David Winsemius, MD
West Hartford, CT

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