Bill, Appreciate the point that both you and Serguei are making, but the sequence in question is not a selected or filtered set. These are values as observed in a sequence from a mechanism described below. The probabilities required to generate this exact sequence in the wild seem staggering to me.
T On Fri, Nov 3, 2017 at 11:27 PM, William Dunlap <wdun...@tibco.com> wrote: > Another other generator is subject to the same problem with the same > probabilitiy. > > > Filter(function(s){set.seed(s, > > kind="Knuth-TAOCP-2002");runif(1,17,26)>25.99}, > 1:10000) > [1] 280 415 826 1372 2224 2544 3270 3594 3809 4116 4236 5018 5692 7043 > 7212 7364 7747 9256 9491 9568 9886 > > > > Bill Dunlap > TIBCO Software > wdunlap tibco.com > > On Fri, Nov 3, 2017 at 10:31 AM, Tirthankar Chakravarty < > tirthankar.li...@gmail.com> wrote: > >> >> Bill, >> >> I have clarified this on SO, and I will copy that clarification in here: >> >> "Sure, we tested them on other 8-digit numbers as well & we could not >> replicate. However, these are honest-to-goodness numbers generated by a >> non-adversarial system that has no conception of these numbers being used >> for anything other than a unique key for an entity -- these are not a >> specially constructed edge case. Would be good to know what seeds will and >> will not work, and why." >> >> These numbers are generated by an application that serves a form, and >> associates form IDs in a sequence. The application calls our API depending >> on the form values entered by users, which in turn calls our R code that >> executes some code that needs an RNG. Since the API has to be stateless, to >> be able to replicate the results for possible debugging, we need to draw >> random numbers in a way that we can replicate the results of the API >> response -- we use the form ID as seeds. >> >> I repeat, there is no design or anything adversarial about the way that >> these numbers were generated -- the system generating these numbers and >> the users entering inputs have no conception of our use of an RNG -- this >> is meant to just be a random sequence of form IDs. This issue was >> discovered completely by chance when the output of the API was observed to >> be highly non-random. It is possible that it is a 1/10^8 chance, but that >> is hard to believe, given that the API hit depends on user input. Note also >> that the issue goes away when we use a different RNG as mentioned below. >> >> T >> >> On Fri, Nov 3, 2017 at 9:58 PM, William Dunlap <wdun...@tibco.com> wrote: >> >>> The random numbers in a stream initialized with one seed should have >>> about the desired distribution. You don't win by changing the seed all the >>> time. Your seeds caused the first numbers of a bunch of streams to be >>> about the same, but the second and subsequent entries in each stream do >>> look uniformly distributed. >>> >>> You didn't say what your 'upstream process' was, but it is easy to come >>> up with seeds that give about the same first value: >>> >>> > Filter(function(s){set.seed(s);runif(1,17,26)>25.99}, 1:10000) >>> [1] 514 532 1951 2631 3974 4068 4229 6092 6432 7264 9090 >>> >>> >>> >>> Bill Dunlap >>> TIBCO Software >>> wdunlap tibco.com >>> >>> On Fri, Nov 3, 2017 at 12:49 AM, Tirthankar Chakravarty < >>> tirthankar.li...@gmail.com> wrote: >>> >>>> This is cross-posted from SO (https://stackoverflow.com/q/4 >>>> 7079702/1414455), >>>> but I now feel that this needs someone from R-Devel to help understand >>>> why >>>> this is happening. >>>> >>>> We are facing a weird situation in our code when using R's [`runif`][1] >>>> and >>>> setting seed with `set.seed` with the `kind = NULL` option (which >>>> resolves, >>>> unless I am mistaken, to `kind = "default"`; the default being >>>> `"Mersenne-Twister"`). >>>> >>>> We set the seed using (8 digit) unique IDs generated by an upstream >>>> system, >>>> before calling `runif`: >>>> >>>> seeds = c( >>>> "86548915", "86551615", "86566163", "86577411", "86584144", >>>> "86584272", "86620568", "86724613", "86756002", "86768593", >>>> "86772411", >>>> "86781516", "86794389", "86805854", "86814600", "86835092", >>>> "86874179", >>>> "86876466", "86901193", "86987847", "86988080") >>>> >>>> random_values = sapply(seeds, function(x) { >>>> set.seed(x) >>>> y = runif(1, 17, 26) >>>> return(y) >>>> }) >>>> >>>> This gives values that are **extremely** bunched together. >>>> >>>> > summary(random_values) >>>> Min. 1st Qu. Median Mean 3rd Qu. Max. >>>> 25.13 25.36 25.66 25.58 25.83 25.94 >>>> >>>> This behaviour of `runif` goes away when we use `kind = >>>> "Knuth-TAOCP-2002"`, and we get values that appear to be much more >>>> evenly >>>> spread out. >>>> >>>> random_values = sapply(seeds, function(x) { >>>> set.seed(x, kind = "Knuth-TAOCP-2002") >>>> y = runif(1, 17, 26) >>>> return(y) >>>> }) >>>> >>>> *Output omitted.* >>>> >>>> --- >>>> >>>> **The most interesting thing here is that this does not happen on >>>> Windows >>>> -- only happens on Ubuntu** (`sessionInfo` output for Ubuntu & Windows >>>> below). >>>> >>>> # Windows output: # >>>> >>>> > seeds = c( >>>> + "86548915", "86551615", "86566163", "86577411", "86584144", >>>> + "86584272", "86620568", "86724613", "86756002", "86768593", >>>> "86772411", >>>> + "86781516", "86794389", "86805854", "86814600", "86835092", >>>> "86874179", >>>> + "86876466", "86901193", "86987847", "86988080") >>>> > >>>> > random_values = sapply(seeds, function(x) { >>>> + set.seed(x) >>>> + y = runif(1, 17, 26) >>>> + return(y) >>>> + }) >>>> > >>>> > summary(random_values) >>>> Min. 1st Qu. Median Mean 3rd Qu. Max. >>>> 17.32 20.14 23.00 22.17 24.07 25.90 >>>> >>>> Can someone help understand what is going on? >>>> >>>> Ubuntu >>>> ------ >>>> >>>> R version 3.4.0 (2017-04-21) >>>> Platform: x86_64-pc-linux-gnu (64-bit) >>>> Running under: Ubuntu 16.04.2 LTS >>>> >>>> Matrix products: default >>>> BLAS: /usr/lib/libblas/libblas.so.3.6.0 >>>> LAPACK: /usr/lib/lapack/liblapack.so.3.6.0 >>>> >>>> locale: >>>> [1] LC_CTYPE=en_US.UTF-8 LC_NUMERIC=C >>>> [3] LC_TIME=en_US.UTF-8 LC_COLLATE=en_US.UTF-8 >>>> [5] LC_MONETARY=en_US.UTF-8 LC_MESSAGES=en_US.UTF-8 >>>> [7] LC_PAPER=en_US.UTF-8 LC_NAME=en_US.UTF-8 >>>> [9] LC_ADDRESS=en_US.UTF-8 LC_TELEPHONE=en_US.UTF-8 >>>> [11] LC_MEASUREMENT=en_US.UTF-8 LC_IDENTIFICATION=en_US.UTF-8 >>>> >>>> attached base packages: >>>> [1] parallel stats graphics grDevices utils datasets >>>> methods base >>>> >>>> other attached packages: >>>> [1] RMySQL_0.10.8 DBI_0.6-1 >>>> [3] jsonlite_1.4 tidyjson_0.2.2 >>>> [5] optiRum_0.37.3 lubridate_1.6.0 >>>> [7] httr_1.2.1 gdata_2.18.0 >>>> [9] XLConnect_0.2-12 XLConnectJars_0.2-12 >>>> [11] data.table_1.10.4 stringr_1.2.0 >>>> [13] readxl_1.0.0 xlsx_0.5.7 >>>> [15] xlsxjars_0.6.1 rJava_0.9-8 >>>> [17] sqldf_0.4-10 RSQLite_1.1-2 >>>> [19] gsubfn_0.6-6 proto_1.0.0 >>>> [21] dplyr_0.5.0 purrr_0.2.4 >>>> [23] readr_1.1.1 tidyr_0.6.3 >>>> [25] tibble_1.3.0 tidyverse_1.1.1 >>>> [27] rBayesianOptimization_1.1.0 xgboost_0.6-4 >>>> [29] MLmetrics_1.1.1 caret_6.0-76 >>>> [31] ROCR_1.0-7 gplots_3.0.1 >>>> [33] effects_3.1-2 pROC_1.10.0 >>>> [35] pscl_1.4.9 lattice_0.20-35 >>>> [37] MASS_7.3-47 ggplot2_2.2.1 >>>> >>>> loaded via a namespace (and not attached): >>>> [1] splines_3.4.0 foreach_1.4.3 AUC_0.3.0 >>>> modelr_0.1.0 >>>> [5] gtools_3.5.0 assertthat_0.2.0 stats4_3.4.0 >>>> cellranger_1.1.0 >>>> [9] quantreg_5.33 chron_2.3-50 digest_0.6.10 >>>> rvest_0.3.2 >>>> [13] minqa_1.2.4 colorspace_1.3-2 Matrix_1.2-10 >>>> plyr_1.8.4 >>>> [17] psych_1.7.3.21 XML_3.98-1.7 broom_0.4.2 >>>> SparseM_1.77 >>>> [21] haven_1.0.0 scales_0.4.1 lme4_1.1-13 >>>> MatrixModels_0.4-1 >>>> [25] mgcv_1.8-17 car_2.1-5 nnet_7.3-12 >>>> lazyeval_0.2.0 >>>> [29] pbkrtest_0.4-7 mnormt_1.5-5 magrittr_1.5 >>>> memoise_1.0.0 >>>> [33] nlme_3.1-131 forcats_0.2.0 xml2_1.1.1 >>>> foreign_0.8-69 >>>> [37] tools_3.4.0 hms_0.3 munsell_0.4.3 >>>> compiler_3.4.0 >>>> [41] caTools_1.17.1 rlang_0.1.1 grid_3.4.0 >>>> nloptr_1.0.4 >>>> [45] iterators_1.0.8 bitops_1.0-6 tcltk_3.4.0 >>>> gtable_0.2.0 >>>> [49] ModelMetrics_1.1.0 codetools_0.2-15 reshape2_1.4.2 >>>> R6_2.2.0 >>>> >>>> [53] knitr_1.15.1 KernSmooth_2.23-15 stringi_1.1.5 >>>> Rcpp_0.12.11 >>>> >>>> >>>> >>>> Windows >>>> ------- >>>> >>>> > sessionInfo() >>>> R version 3.3.2 (2016-10-31) >>>> Platform: x86_64-w64-mingw32/x64 (64-bit) >>>> Running under: Windows >= 8 x64 (build 9200) >>>> >>>> locale: >>>> [1] LC_COLLATE=English_India.1252 LC_CTYPE=English_India.1252 >>>> LC_MONETARY=English_India.1252 >>>> [4] LC_NUMERIC=C LC_TIME=English_India.1252 >>>> >>>> attached base packages: >>>> [1] graphics grDevices utils datasets grid stats >>>> methods base >>>> >>>> other attached packages: >>>> [1] bindrcpp_0.2 h2o_3.14.0.3 ggrepel_0.6.5 >>>> eulerr_1.1.0 VennDiagram_1.6.17 >>>> [6] futile.logger_1.4.3 scales_0.4.1 FinCal_0.6.3 >>>> xml2_1.0.0 httr_1.3.0 >>>> [11] wesanderson_0.3.2 wordcloud_2.5 RColorBrewer_1.1-2 >>>> htmltools_0.3.6 urltools_1.6.0 >>>> [16] timevis_0.4 dtplyr_0.0.1 magrittr_1.5 >>>> shiny_1.0.5 RODBC_1.3-14 >>>> [21] zoo_1.8-0 sqldf_0.4-10 RSQLite_1.1-2 >>>> gsubfn_0.6-6 proto_1.0.0 >>>> [26] gdata_2.17.0 stringr_1.2.0 XLConnect_0.2-12 >>>> XLConnectJars_0.2-12 data.table_1.10.4 >>>> [31] xlsx_0.5.7 xlsxjars_0.6.1 rJava_0.9-8 >>>> readxl_0.1.1 googlesheets_0.2.1 >>>> [36] jsonlite_1.5 tidyjson_0.2.1 RMySQL_0.10.9 >>>> RPostgreSQL_0.4-1 DBI_0.5-1 >>>> [41] dplyr_0.7.2 purrr_0.2.3 readr_1.1.1 >>>> tidyr_0.7.0 tibble_1.3.3 >>>> [46] ggplot2_2.2.0 tidyverse_1.0.0 lubridate_1.6.0 >>>> >>>> loaded via a namespace (and not attached): >>>> [1] gtools_3.5.0 assertthat_0.2.0 triebeard_0.3.0 >>>> cellranger_1.1.0 yaml_2.1.14 >>>> [6] slam_0.1-40 lattice_0.20-34 glue_1.1.1 >>>> chron_2.3-48 digest_0.6.12.1 >>>> [11] colorspace_1.3-1 httpuv_1.3.5 plyr_1.8.4 >>>> pkgconfig_2.0.1 xtable_1.8-2 >>>> [16] lazyeval_0.2.0 mime_0.5 memoise_1.0.0 >>>> tools_3.3.2 hms_0.3 >>>> [21] munsell_0.4.3 lambda.r_1.1.9 rlang_0.1.1 >>>> RCurl_1.95-4.8 labeling_0.3 >>>> [26] bitops_1.0-6 tcltk_3.3.2 gtable_0.2.0 >>>> reshape2_1.4.2 R6_2.2.0 >>>> [31] bindr_0.1 futile.options_1.0.0 stringi_1.1.2 >>>> Rcpp_0.12.12.1 >>>> >>>> [1]: http://stat.ethz.ch/R-manual/R-devel/library/stats/html/Unif >>>> orm.html >>>> >>>> [[alternative HTML version deleted]] >>>> >>>> ______________________________________________ >>>> R-devel@r-project.org mailing list >>>> https://stat.ethz.ch/mailman/listinfo/r-devel >>>> >>> >>> >> > [[alternative HTML version deleted]] ______________________________________________ R-devel@r-project.org mailing list 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