Not meaningless, just not always a good predictor, though it's usually 
the way to bet.  Just don't bet the farm.

Paul Stenquist wrote:
> Exactly. The relatively modest sales of the *istD in no way suggest  
> that this will be true of the K10D. Current sales, on the other hand,  
> indicate that the K10D is in great demand. My camera store owner told  
> me he wished there was some way he could get more of them. He's never  
> said that about a Pentax camera. As you say, history is meaningless.
> Paul
> On Nov 26, 2006, at 3:38 PM, P. J. Alling wrote:
>
>   
>> Past history is no indicator of future performance.
>>
>>
>>
>> Paul Stenquist wrote:
>>     
>>> Except that the production run could sell out, as the *istDS2 and
>>> perhaps even the DS did. The D is half price only because there's
>>> existing stock long after it went out of production.
>>> Paul
>>> On Nov 26, 2006, at 11:42 AM, P. J. Alling wrote:
>>>
>>>
>>>       
>>>> You can buy a *ist-D new today for $799, from B&H photo.  so lets  
>>>> see
>>>> 799/1699 * 100 ~ 47%  so my guess is that you'll be able to buy a  
>>>> K10D
>>>> for ~$470 just after it's discontinued.  Other than that, as the
>>>> official Pentax price never fell much below $1699 I have no clue.
>>>>
>>>> Past history is no indicator of future performance.
>>>>
>>>> cbwaters wrote:
>>>>
>>>>         
>>>>> So, given the impressive initial price of this new camera and the
>>>>> propensity
>>>>> of camera prices to fall within six months to a year from launch,
>>>>> what do we
>>>>> feel will be the final price point?
>>>>>   Certainly not until after Christmas and I guess it depends on
>>>>> how demand
>>>>> holds up after the initial flurry.
>>>>> I paid extra for my D to get one of the first batch.  I don't have
>>>>> that
>>>>> option this time around (sadly).  I'm wondering when the price
>>>>> might drop a
>>>>> little.  I'd like to get the kit lens & grip for what the kit
>>>>> sells for.
>>>>> What do ye think?
>>>>>
>>>>> CW
>>>>>
>>>>>
>>>>>
>>>>>
>>>>>           
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>>>>
>>>>         
>>>
>>>       
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>
>
>   


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