At the start of the 2008 financial crisis, I was at a hedge fund. By its
end, I was at the U.S. Treasury. At both, I worked with people only a few
years out of college. The drama of 2008 was all they knew about financial
markets. “Remember what’s happening,” I told them. “You’ll never see
anything like this again.”

Now I’m not so sure. Maybe they’ll see worse.

We have returned to a period of risk, one rife with the sort of pressures
that have led to major financial crises. This time, the risks are spread
across industries, markets and nations: artificial intelligence, the
roughly $2 trillion private credit industry, stock markets, Taiwan and now
Iran. These risks are analyzed one by one, news article by news article. We
understand them in isolation. Yet they are different entry points into the
same underlying structure — a complex and tightly coupled system where the
specific source of stress matters less than how quickly that stress can
spread.

Signs of systemic strain are emerging.

full article 
*https://www.nytimes.com/2026/03/16/opinion/financial-crisis-private-credit-ai-iran-taiwan.html
<https://www.nytimes.com/2026/03/16/opinion/financial-crisis-private-credit-ai-iran-taiwan.html>*


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