The correct decision is not to double. But if you have a weak oppenent that
makes the error to pass with more than 15.2% probability in situations like
that then it would be a good idea to double here.

So the 15.2% could be called the probability of an opponents error you need
to justify a double that would normally be wrong against a well playing
opponent.

It can be calculated from the other percentages shown: 0.71 / (3.98 + 0.71)
* 100 = 15.1

(I think the small discrepancy to 15.2 is due to rounding errors.)
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