Oh ... The birthday paradox as applied to disk failures. That had never 
occurred to me before, but it should have done!

Tim

Sent from my iPhone

> On 29 Apr 2017, at 3:36 pm, Peter St. John <peter.st.j...@gmail.com> wrote:
> 
> just a friendly reminder that while the probability of a particular 
> coincidence might be very low, the probability that there will be **some** 
> coincidence is very high.


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