My personal opinion is that Kuiper won't actually get "done". It will be
partially baked in a couple of years, and they will pull the plug around
2028. As of now, I think they have fewer than 100 sats in the sky.
bp
<part15sbs{at}gmail{dot}com>
On 10/1/2025 9:49 PM, Jason McKemie wrote:
You think it will be done in 2 years? I don't think they will start
building until around then, but I guess we'll see how it goes..
On Wed, Oct 1, 2025 at 2:31 PM Ken Hohhof <[email protected]> wrote:
Has anyone figured this out?
Other than free hardware for any resident at the location for 10
years, I can’t find what else BEAD will pay for. What about
installation? And are the monthly fees discounted? I assume it
varies by state, but what’s typically being done?
The reason I ask is now that my state’s proposed awards have been
publicized in the form of a map, I can see where they are
subsidizing fiber and where it will be Amazon Kuiper. This
figures bigly into our future plans. Most areas will get fiber,
and while they have 4 years to get it done, I think most of it
will be done in the next 2 years. I’m not going to try and deploy
fiber anywhere that is getting BEAD fiber. It’s another matter
where private money has been overbuilding cable companies in town
that charge north of $100/mo. They also knew they wouldn’t face
BEAD fiber because the locations weren’t unserved.
But the areas where there were no bids to do fiber for below
whatever the threshold was for LEO, probably you’d have to be a
fool to do fiber in those areas with 100% your own money. So
that’s where we’d focus any WISP expansion or upgrades, and what
we’d be competing with is subsidized Amazon Kuiper. If we’d be
competing with a free satellite receiver, that’s entirely
possible. If it’s 100 Mbps for $10/mo, that’s another matter.
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